Demographic data initiatives

Elements from projects 9320502/0547/0658 and 9363000/3017/3027 will be integrated into two components: RAPID III; and census and data support. RAPID III will provide public and private LDC policy institutions with computer-based policy models for evaluating the development impacts of population issues. These will include: (1) RAPID models, which assess the effects of alternative population growth scenarios on health and development; (2) planning models, which evaluate the effect of such scenarios on sector development; and (3) financial/program planning models (a new emphasis), which include cost-benefit analysis and target-setting models for use in planning FP programs. RAPID III will also select a single demographic projection model for use in all future AID-sponsored modeling work. Targets are: 46-54 applications of the RAPID model and 28-36 applications each of the two other models. Awareness seminars to increase understanding among top policymakers and planners of the impacts of population growth will include short in-country seminars (i.e., RAPID presentations) for national leaders, 10-14 regional seminars, and 2-4 U.S. seminars. Analysis training (36-44 country workshops and 14-18 intensive U.S. courses for technical staff of policy/planning institutions) will cover demographic and economic concepts, demographic estimation and projection, planning, and financial analysis of FP programs. The U.S. Bureau of the Census (BuCen) will support the 1990 round of censuses (especially in Africa) via 21-27 needs assessments; 40-50 TA visits; 32-40 in-country workshops; 8-10 "data consumer" workshops on use of census data; software support (a new element, which will include distribution of 400-500 copies of CONCOR, CENTS-4, and CONTROL software and provision of BuCen"s new Integrated Microcomputer Processing System to selected LDC"s); and efforts to coordinate donor census support. The database at BuCen"s Center for International Research will be modified so as to form a single, unified storage and retrieval system for all demographic and FP data collected with A.I.D. support (e.g., World Fertility Survey and Contraceptive Prevalence Survey data). BuCen will maintain the data base, publish annual data summaries, respond to information requests from AID/W, USAID"s, etc., and distribute data tapes. Amendment (3/1/89) adds a cooperative agreement, previously funded under Project 9361406, with the Population Reference Bureau to produce and distribute the annual World Population Data Sheet and conduct ad hoc, short-term training and orientation seminars for LDC policymakers and administrators. (PD-AAY-876)