INTERNATIONAL FERTILIZER DEVELOPMENT CENTER (IFDC)
Although the dissolution of the command economy and the wholesale privatization of the agricultural sector have opened up new marketing opportunities, agricultural inputs, and particularly fertilizers, remain in short supply.
1992

Abstract
This study discusses the impact of the fertilizer shortage (fertilizer use in 1991 was just 33% of what it was in 1985-90, resulting in a 66% decrease in the wheat harvest) and outlines problems in the fertilizer marketing and production systems. For example, there is a rudimentary retail system developing for fertilizer, but it consists primarily of former collective farmers buying fertilizer from old parastatal distributors at the government-mandated ceiling and selling it with a mark-up (at an illegal price) to private farmers. The price problem is compounded by a shortage of agricultural credit and the resulting weak purchasing power of private farmers. A potentially more serious problem is the dramatic decline of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer production since 1991, caused by a lack of raw materials, including natural gas and sulfuric acid. The study makes a number of recommendations, including (1) a 20,000 mt emergency supply of urea should be imported immediately; (2) government price controls on fertilizer should be eliminated; (3) the transportation system should be privatized; (4) urea production should be given priority in the distribution of natural gas supplies; and (5) certain agricultural exports (e.g., fruits and vegetables) should be stimulated to avoid local market gluts and generate foreign exchange.
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USAID DEC