NATIONAL MIGRATION STUDY (9/4-9/14/79)

EVALUATION COVERS THE PERIOD 4/77 TO 9/79. PROJECT ACTIVITIES FALL UNDER 3 PHASES: (1) INITIAL REVIEW OF MIGRATION INFORMATION IN BOTSWANA TO IDENTIFY INFORMATION GAPS AND FINALIZE STUDY METHODOLOGY; (2)NATIONAL MIGRATION SURVEY; AND (3)SURVEY DATA ANALYSIS AND COMPARISON WITH PHASE I DATA, CULMINATING IN A REPORT ON MIGRATION TO THE GOB. PROJECT ACHIEVEMENTS ARE COMMENDABLE, PARTICULARLY IN LIGHT OF NUMEROUS PROBLEMS ENCOUNTERED SINCE PROJECT INCEPTION. PHASE I ACTIVITIES (ABOVE) ARE WELL UNDERWAY. NUMEROUS PAPERS HAVE BEEN PRODUCED, SEMINARS HAVE BEEN HELD, AND EXPERT RESEARCHERS HAVE BEEN HIRED. A REPORT ON PROPOSED SURVEY METHODOLOGY WAS ALSO COMPLETED. PHASED II IS ALSO WELL UNDERWAY. A NATIONAL ULTI-STAGED, STRATIFIED SAMPLE OF 3,400 HOUSEHOLDS INTERVIEWED AT 3-MONTH INTERVALS (BEGINNING 9-78) IS NEARING COMPLETION. WHILE FLAWED, THE QUESTIONNAIRES HAVE PRODUCED AN ENORMOUS AMOUNT OF DATA OVER 4 ROUNDS OF INTERVIEWING. PROSPECTS FOR COMPLETION OF PHASE III BY 8/80 ARE UNLIKELY, AND RELATE TO OVERALL PROJECT PROBLEMS. ORIGINAL TIME FRAME WAS HIGHLY AMBITIOUS. NO PROJECT COORDINATE WAS HIRED UNTIL A YEAR AFTER PROJECT BEGAN, CAUSING EXTREME DISORGANIZATION IN PROJECT STARTUP AND LACK OF ATTENTION TO CRITICAL ORGANIZATIONAL FACTORS VITAL TO PROJECT SUCCESS. THESE PROBLEMS HAVE LARGELY BEEN SURMOUNTED (DURE IN PART TO THE HIGH MOTIVATION OF PERSONNEL), AND PROJECT PURPOSE PURPOSE MAY BE ACHIVED BY 8/80, ASSUMING THE FOLLOWING RECOMMENDATIONS ARE IMPLEMENTED: (1)ASSIST PROJECT IN OBTAINING MEANS FOR MORE EFFICIENT KEYPUNCHING;(2)CONSIDER ASSITANCE TO SPEED UP DATA PROCESSING; (3)COMP